Let me tell you a story that starts in a very ordinary place: my apartment building.

Recently, our building administration began discussing something that would have sounded unthinkable a year ago — letting go of three full-time security guards.

Not because the building is broke.
Not because residents demanded it.
Not because anyone wants to.

But because one number changed.

And everything tied to that number changed with it.

This isn’t about politics.
It’s not about ideology.
It’s about consequences.

And if you live abroad — or are considering it — this is exactly the kind of ripple effect you need to understand.

The 23.7% Shift That Reshaped Budgets Overnight

At the start of 2026, Colombia implemented a 23.7% increase in the national minimum wage.

To put that into perspective:

  • Inflation over the previous year hovered around 4–5%.

  • The wage increase was roughly four to five times inflation.

  • It was one of the largest single-year increases in modern Colombian history.

The intention?
Protect low-income workers.
Restore purchasing power.
Reduce inequality.

Those are serious goals. And they matter.

But here’s the part that most people outside Colombia don’t realize:

In Colombia, the minimum wage isn’t just a salary floor.
It’s a reference unit.

And that changes everything.

Why the Minimum Wage Is More Than a Paycheck in Colombia

In many countries, a minimum wage increase affects a relatively small percentage of workers.

In Colombia, it’s different.

A significant portion of salaries sit at or just above the minimum wage. That means when the minimum wage moves sharply, millions of workers are directly or indirectly affected.

But it doesn’t stop there.

The minimum wage is used as an indexing tool for:

  • Payroll contributions

  • Social security costs

  • Cleaning and security contracts

  • Building administration budgets

  • Certain rents

  • Fines

  • Thresholds for legal and financial calculations

So when the minimum wage increases 23.7%, everything indexed to it increases 23.7% — immediately.

No phase-in.
No slow adjustment.
No “let’s see how this plays out.”

The math just recalculates.

The Apartment Building Case Study

Let’s bring it back to my building.

Administration fees here aren’t profit. They cover:

  • Security guards (often 24/7 coverage)

  • Cleaning staff

  • Maintenance

  • Social security contributions

  • EPS health coverage

  • Vacation pay

  • Severance obligations

In other words: people.

Many of those contracts are written as “X number of minimum wages per worker.” So when the minimum wage rises, the contract doesn’t renegotiate — it recalculates.

And security in many Colombian buildings represents 40% to 50% (or more) of the entire administration budget.

So when that line item jumps nearly 24%, the whole budget jumps.

Even if:

  • The elevator didn’t change.

  • The lights didn’t change.

  • The service didn’t improve.

The math changed.

Buildings now face three options:

  1. Raise administration fees again.

  2. Cut services.

  3. Reduce staff.

There is no magical fourth option.

And that’s where automation enters the room.

Cameras vs. Community

In my building, those guards know the residents.
They know the kids.
They know who belongs and who doesn’t.

Replacing them with cameras and key fobs isn’t a “tech upgrade.”

It’s a cost decision.

When labor costs spike suddenly, uncomfortable questions get asked:

  • Do we really need 24/7 portería?

  • Can access control systems replace people?

  • Can cameras do part of this job?

No one celebrates that conversation.

But numbers force it.

The Resident Pressure Nobody Sees

From the outside, an administration fee increase sounds like an inconvenience.

In reality, it can be decisive.

You can’t cancel administration fees.
You can’t downgrade them.
You can’t skip a month.

If you live there, you pay.

The first people hit aren’t the wealthiest residents.

It’s:

  • Retirees on fixed incomes.

  • Families budgeting tightly.

  • Long-term owners who bought years ago when fees were lower.

  • Tenants whose income didn’t rise 23.7%.

From a distance, it might sound small:
“It’s just a few hundred thousand pesos more.”

But real budgets don’t have a line item labeled “surprise policy adjustments.”

One increase is manageable.
Two starts to hurt.
Three forces a decision.

And that decision often happens quietly — at the kitchen table.

Should we move?
Can we still afford this?
What if it rises again next year?

No protests.
No headlines.
Just math.

Small Businesses Feel the Same Shock

Now zoom out from apartment buildings.

Small businesses across Colombia are facing the exact same recalculation.

For them, payroll isn’t just salary.

It’s:

  • Salary

  • Social security contributions

  • EPS

  • Pension

  • Vacation pay

  • Severance

So when the minimum wage jumps 23.7%, the real cost per employee jumps even more.

Small businesses don’t have corporate buffers. They don’t have venture capital padding.

They calculate.

And their options look familiar:

  • Raise prices.

  • Cut hours.

  • Not replace someone who leaves.

  • Reduce hiring.

  • Let someone go.

It doesn’t always show up as dramatic layoffs.

More often it looks like:

“We won’t hire that extra person.”
“We’ll close one extra day.”
“We’ll handle it ourselves.”

Quiet adjustment.
Very visible to families.

The Informality Question

There’s another uncomfortable reality.

When legal employment becomes too expensive too quickly, some businesses feel pushed toward informal arrangements.

Cash payments.
No EPS.
No pension contributions.
No vacation pay.

That’s not anti-worker rhetoric.

That’s pro-worker reality.

Because a job that moves into the shadows offers short-term income — but long-term vulnerability.

And economists, banks, business groups, and even labor advocates are discussing the same thing right now:

Not whether helping workers is good.

But how fast is too fast when so much of the system is tied to one lever.

Why Speed Matters More Than Intention

Across financial institutions and economic analysts, one theme keeps repeating:

Second-order effects.

When labor costs rise quickly:

  • Prices often rise.

  • Hiring slows.

  • Automation accelerates.

  • Informal work increases.

Colombia has a high concentration of jobs at or just above minimum wage. That means the minimum wage isn’t just a floor — it’s a structural anchor.

When it moves sharply, housing costs, service contracts, and employment costs move with it.

That’s not ideology.

That’s structure.

Will It Happen Again?

Large, sudden policy changes tend to do one thing quickly:

They reveal pressure points.

This increase revealed them almost immediately:

  • Administration fee spikes.

  • Payroll recalculations.

  • Automation discussions.

  • Informality risks.

Policy feedback matters.

Governments — regardless of political leaning — respond to what happens next.

The real questions moving forward aren’t:

Will wages rise again?

But rather:

  • How fast?

  • How phased?

  • What gets indexed to them?

  • Should fewer systems be tied to a single reference number?

Because the real challenge isn’t helping workers.

It’s helping them without eliminating jobs.

What This Means for Expats and Global Citizens

If you’re living in Colombia — or planning to — this matters.

Not because it’s political.

But because it affects:

  • Housing costs.

  • Building stability.

  • Small business viability.

  • Community continuity.

  • Informality rates.

  • Automation trends.

If you’re an expat, you may not earn minimum wage.

But you live inside the system tied to it.

And when one lever moves, everything connected to it moves too.

Understanding those linkages is part of living abroad responsibly.

The Bigger Lesson

This isn’t about whether wages should rise.

It’s about how interconnected systems respond when they do.

In my building, the conversation is still ongoing:

People vs. cameras.
Fees vs. affordability.
Security vs. sustainability.

Real decisions.
Real time.
Real consequences.

And that’s the kind of nuance that rarely makes it into headlines.

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